As the clock go forward at the end of this month
we can begin to look forward to the return of the
russian football leagues in 2012 and enjoying
Kav's lazy tips, enjoying weekend afternoons in
a beer garden, an some sunshine (hopefully, lol!)

We're officially entering vacation on 27th
November 2011. The beggining of the russian
football, in fact continue with play-offs it will be
on Spring next year.

Kavkaz is the very definition of the luxury betting
experience. Since 2009, the man at the lead of
Stavki Navsegda (recently) has been sizing up
the betting industry for the Russian Football. For
the 3rd year in a row Kavkaz Tipster has been
voted "Russia's Best Capper" by the prestigious
"Cocktail Bets" magazine.

There is no obstacle that cannot be overcome.
The betting industry is still full of opportunities.
When putting a bet on the russian foot, we
ensure the corect stake is submitted. This
method of selective staking was prouved efficient
against flat betting, at least for me:

* 2009 [4 months] : 15-0-7 . avg odd 2.20 , net
+75.70 units , yield 43.50%

* 2010 [6 months] : 97-1-97 . avg odd 2.26 , net
+217.43 units , yield 23.90%

* 2011 [6 months] : 160-9-162 . avg odd 2.61 ,
net +170.21 units , yield 13.90%

“СТАТИСТИКА” Ставки Чемп. России:

1-325 (01.06.2011 – 07.11.2011) @ Stavkinavsegda.com

Итог: +156 (Won) =9 (Push) -159 (Lost)
(49.68%)
Сумма ставок (Staked units) : 1194.27
Выиграл (Won units): +680.59
Потерянный (Lost units): -518.08
Прибыль (Profit units): +162,51
Прибыль с оборота (Yield) +13,61 %
Средняя вставки (Avg. units/stake): 3.67/10
Средний коэффициент (Avg. odds taken): 2.62

Stats presented are from my new site (Stavkinavsegda.com), it was a demontration of staking management, professional betting.
It went on winter break, russian football 3rd divisions back with play-offs on the April of 2012.

For any questions you will want to ask me, you can contact me at the following mail: kavkaztipster@mail.ru .

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My new site (новые ставки блог - футбол Чемп. России ) :

Stavki Navsegda

Euroleague Men, Last 16 26.01.2012 20:00 CET

Galatasaray (Turkey) vs Olympiakos (Greece)

Today in the second round of the ULEB Euroleague Top 16 play Galatasaray (Turkey) and Olympiakos (Greece), in this meeting, I offer you to play winning greek side for the 1.95 through bookie Unibet.

Last games Galatasaray:

19.01.12 Efes Pilsen - Galatasaray 68:62 (29:19, 16:15, 15:18, 8:10)
15.01.12 Galatasaray - Aliaya Genchlyk 90:72 (28:11, 14:24, 24 25, 24:12)
07.01.12 Erdemir - Galatasaray 75:83 (19:21, 17:24, 24:26, 15:12)
04.01.12 Galatasaray - Mersin 105:67 (27 18, 27:13, 26:21, 25:15)
30.12.11 Fenerbahce - Galatasaray 80:79 (17:21, 15:15, 25:27, 23:16)

Last games Olympiakos:

21.01.12 Maroussi - Olympiakos 84:89 (22:20, 21:30, 19:19, 22:20)
18.01.12 Olympiakos - CSKA 78:86 (21:22, 23:18, 14:22, 20:24)
14.01.12 Olympiakos - PAOK 90:60 (20:23, 25:13, 22:9, 23:15)
11.01.12 Olympiakos - Ilisiakos 77:73 (17:26, 14:20, 22:14, 24:13)
07.01.12 Kavala - Olympiacos 63:82 (13:14, 13:26, 19:25, 18:17)

Before today's meeting, teams approach with one defeat, recall that in the first round of Efes Pilsen was stronger 68:62 Galatasaray and Olympiakos lost to CSKA Moscow in their floor with a score of 78:86. For bookies favorite quotes in today's match Galatasaray, but it's all due to the fact that the turks will play at home arena, and the support of the turkish fans will be healthy.

Neither team has injured players, which means that today I can expect an uncompromising struggle in which, we think, will look better the greek team. Of course, I have some concerns about the officiating in the game in favor of the hosts, but I think Olympiakos players will have enough sense not to respond to the provocations of Galatasaray.

In the match against CSKA played very good game Olympiacos player Richard Dorsey, the same impenetrable Vassilis Spanulis with Perot Antic, well directed attacks and defense team. Before the match with Galatasaray Dusan Ivkovic said that if you do not win today's match, go on, perhaps, the struggle for a way out of the group will be meaningless.

By all indications at the moment the greek team is in the best condition, so the victory for Olympiakos in this match is even more visible.

Play: Olympiakos (OT included) 1.95 Unibet

It is clear that further in the cup is likely to go Barcelona, Real Madrid are unlikely to win at "Nou Camp" - in the first leg the Royal club was trying to cheat on.. football and tried to win with one shoot on target and lucky goal.

Football is Barcelona, the beauty of this game is brought to us in all his ways by the Catalans (Viva Catalunia!)... and with this It says everything. Difference between teams at this moment: Real Madrid strongly more on individual skills of players, but still weaker than Barcelona as a team game.

I wrote in the first leg, some real facts that become true, once again: "A team that holds over 60% ball posesion are going to kill you and pressure untill they get in with the ball and player in the net. This is Barcelona, 4-6-0 system, and the movement of all 6 midfielders when they are close to the 16m area is amazing... and one more thing the offside tramp they are smart and in many case will pass it easily" - The winning goal for Barcelona was a masterpiece pass by Messi... over Real defense, lazy and slow to catch Abidal in offsaid. Also, I wrote about the problems for the Royal Club against Barcelona (not Gijon or Bilbao!): " R. Madrid of the early this century were briliant due to the leadership under Algerian, Zinedin Zidan who tied the line of defense with a line of attack and make the transition from one line to another faster and more efficient (Cristiano Ronaldo cant do it, hes weak and has nothing in head, only dribbling and run fast - but a vision to the game? NONE!).. so, for this purpose the Royal club bought Kaka from Milan, who unfortunately did not show itself may although in fact in Milan this role he coped pretty well".

I suggest you put on today is that today will be red card in the match.

There are a few reasons. First, any match between Barcelona and Real Madrid are always hot. Any match between them - the confrontation between two historical enemies. Any match between Barcelona and Real Madrid stands out for its uncompromising in terms of fighting on the field and unpredictable in terms of results. And today's match - no exception.

A week ago we saw the passions were running high on the football field stadium "Santiago Bernabeu". Pepe played enough alone for two red cards, as a minimum, but judging the match Cesar Muniz Fernandez and his team had not seen these things, judge that would remove Pepe early in the 2nd half when he first hit in the shoulder Messi, and then another, stepped on his hand. Fernandez missed it, missed a constant simulation of Pepe during entire match.

But okay, let's not criticize the judge. Because, of course, if he removed Pepe, how many would be in his address after the game waiting to poison arrows from the entire Madrid community? Secondly, today the situation is quite different before the match. Agree, probably, there is little doubt that the 1/2 finals on the sum of the two games will go Barcelona. Of course, football is unpredictable and not as it win back the odds, but it's hard to believe that Real Madrid winning by 2 goals. That he simply will not allow Barcelona, as there is currently over Real in each aspect of the game.

Barcelona - this is probably the strongest club of the world at the moment. So, on this basis, to suggest that Real Madrid, realizing the hopelessness of their situation in the second half, just start to play dirty and rude. Why after the 1st half? Because in the 1st half, Real Madrid will try to win. Tribunes will not cease to provocate players from Madrid, shouting all sorts of insults.

Thus, the like of removal in the 2nd half and in the whole game is to rise. Now remove the player's Real Madrid, so what? Suffice it to say that, in 5 of the 7 previous "El Classico" red cards were there. With each "El Classico" the probability of red card, increase. Fourth, today's game will serve the Spanish referee Fernando Teixeira Vitenes, who in August, was at the first match of Spanish Super Cup between these teams. In that game he recorded 40 fouls, but it showed only 5 yellow cards. At that time he had his hands tied, as Real Madrid and Barca expected a return match after, a few days. Today it will be another Vitenes, all for the same reason that this return match.

Real players, as is usual in the past "El Classico" of despair will be so rude. Before the match even goes so far as to declare gkper Casillas and defender Sergio Ramos that it is better to die in the field of Catalunia, rather than surrender, but on the official website of Real Madrid players have to convince their fans: "We have all come out! We are stronger! We will win!"

Surely Vitenes watched the first match between the clubs, getting ready to judge a second leg and will not allow what he did in the 2nd half, portuguese Pepe. We all know the strict, principled and explosive Spanish judges from Primera. I believe that in today's match will see the removal of one of the players. This clash is heated very strongly, and is about to explode, the degree of match is very high!

Red Card? Yes

Liverpool - Manchester City

Second Round of English League Cup between Liverpool and Manchester City. Recall that the winner of this pair in the final to play against Cardiff City. This tells us that the winner of this pair will be the undisputed favorite in the finals to win the trophy. The first game ended in victory for Liverpool with a score of 1:0.

Liverpool now is only 7th line in the Premier League table. And more than well behind the places, which entitles to play next season in the Champions League. But victory in the finals of this competition for Liverpool would give her the right to compete in the Europa League, if a team does not fall vs Cardiff. The hosts are now not in his best form. This is evidenced by the defeat of Bolton 1:3 in the final round of the Premier League. As in his last home match, Liverpool failed to beat Stoke City, the game ended 0-0. Probably, their coach expects just in the League Cup and the upcoming match will do everything to ensure that the team go to the finals.

Manchester City this season, playing fine. This is one of the best seasons the team over the past decade. In the Premier League team is in first place and has 3 points over Manchester United. The best attack in the league and also the best defense. In recent games the team performs very well, except for 2 games in early January, in which City lost to Manchester United and Liverpool in the Cup. In the last two matches were defeated Wigan 1-0 and Tottenham 3-2.

Very interesting game awaits us today. City have nothing to lose after losing the first game 0-1 and the beginning of the game, the team will go forward. Thu, exposing their back and giving a chance to Liverpool for counterattack.

The match will be very open and expected a large number of goals scored on both sides.

Play: Over 2.5 Goals 

An excellent coefficient for a clear victory, the strongest team is Senegal.

This alignment of forces in terms of the Guinea, caused very objective reasons. First, Eq. Guinea - a tournament where the are host country. Second, Senegal lost their first game to Zambia, which initially was considered a favorite. And thirdly, Eq. Guinea, which is generally predicted 0 points in the group, it is surprising that beat in the first game of Libya.

But first, Equatorial Guinea has already exceeded its goal for this tournament and in any case become heroes in the eyes of their fans, and getting a good bonus for players of this team before and never seen again. So you can safely pick up the presents and hope for the championship.

Second, Zambia is not like Guinea, Zambia is a team that have to hold in Group A second place just outside Senegal. And third, the victory over Guinea, Libya can not be considered. Was carried out to the Libyans and only crazy mood Guinea, as well as possible that enough that hosts the tournament only helped win a game in the tournament.

Yes, and it is noted that the first matches of the Cup of Africa often stunning results. They now play Senegal, and usually lose points can not be so, and I think what they do and will not be. Only a general class of teams are much larger than the opponent. Equatorial Guinea is not only an outsider of the group A, but the most important from tournament. Guineans were in the CAS, for the first time in history, and then host the championship. Most of the players on this team play in the lower divisions of Spain, having been born in Spain and live there and act accordingly in local leagues.

However, the level of these players are extremely low. It should be noted that Equatorial Guinea has one month before the CAS has lost its coach. Henri Michel had a fight with the administration and left the team. In its place was immediately occupied by the Brazilian expert whose contract entered into up to 2 months, that is understandable - but at least that was it. Paul leads a team of less than a month, that is, virtually nothing about the players do not know and build a kind of game this time is simply unrealistic.

Probably the main star may be called Rodolfo Bodipo, who has experience, but it has 34 years and his best days have passed.

As for Senegal, which are quality players, like teams from Cote Ivoire and Ghana are the favorites of the tournament. Backbone of the team's players are not representing the French and English clubs. In particular Bah, who scored the most goals for Newcastle, which allows the team to maintain a high position in the Premier League.

I think today's show their true strength, Senegal and leaves no possibility Guinea frankly weak side in my oppinion.

Play: Senegal 1.73

03.03.2012 Football Premier League Russia - Group A

Spartak Moscow - Rubin Kazan

In the past tatars better managed deal meeting with Spartak away than home. Perhaps this can be attributed to the stylistics of theyr game, the philosophy of Rubin, monolithic defense and sharp counterattack last three years brought to the team of Kurban Berdyev points in "Luzhniki" - over the hosts.

Failed Rubin in June this year when they were hold to a goaless draw in Moscow - the truth about the encounter: Spartak v Rubin 0-0 ; Shoots: 5-20 ; Shoots on target: 0-8. Our coach Valery Karpin had a tricky puzzle to solve as he could not count on 9 players, particularly from the defense - Were out: Eugene Makeyev, Fyodor Kudryashov, Nicolas Parejo and Marcos Rojo, Marek Suchy with youth team Czech Republic. In addition, both brazilian strikers - Welliton and Ari. I can call a point won by Spartak and two lost by Rubin, because all players I presented are from regular basis in our team.

In Kazan, Rubin won Spartak side that they couldnt win since August 2007 at home and pleased theyr fans with a score 3-0 over nine times champions of Russia. Game stats: Shoots 11-3, On Target: 7-2.

Rubin has always caught the mistakes and once again is to pay tribute to theyr coach Berdiev - a real coach, and Spartak coach Karpin - still has a lot to learn.

Yesterday we were trashed Ukrainian Metalist 1-4, poorly played, to play Metalist very good side who act in the Europa League and took first place in the group. Theyr goals scored by the individual actions. For Spartak a lot of individual errors, ukrainian played like a kids game.... of course too early to give thoughts ... but somehow unpleasant this defeat. First goal for our opponent was scored by losing ball in the center field and followed by a counterattack, in the 2nd freekick were 4 players stood in the wall, 3 of them jumped one did not and the rest is story (imagine from were the ball passed) , 3rd De Zeuw lost his man, 4rd 5 Spartak defenders none intend to advance to prevail Metalist players shoot from close range, deflected goal.

4-1 > http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6oA9D7WJtIM

With the departure of brasilian Alex we have no idea at the center of the field, nice goal by young striker Obukhov (19 years old), maybe Karpin must play him more often. Considering the level of the opponent, it was an expected defeat, Metalist Kharkiv scored 15 goals in 5 games in the Europa League.

Rubin defense is very strong one, as you can see Spartak shoot on target only twice in two meeting with tatars and failed to score a goal but received 3. When Karpin resigned by own will in the middle of season, he said will stay untill president find a replacement. He stayed untill nowadays, it is clear he is weak, could not find a good composition for the back line, yet - where mistakes are very big. Rojo and Rodri must be shwon both the door...

Rubin and Zenit are teams Spartak cant match, both have brilliant coaches, good tactics and disciplined players in the field. Spartak can compete with the Moscow teams: a derby is a derby motivation is high and Spartak knows how to deal with CSKA, Lokomotiv or Dinamo, 3 win - 2 draw - 1 loss in the regular season, and 2-0 win over Lokomotiv counting for the playoffs group A.

In the last 4 visits to Moscow, Rubin are 3-1-0 5 goals scored - 0 received vs Spartak. Past three away games from the regular championship, Rubin played with CSKA and won 2-1, and Dinamo winning 2-0. Before this match Rubin Kazan will have on theyr account two official games: Europa League, while Spartak none.

My odds for this game: 2.30 - 3.10 - 2.70 ... bookies offer 2.15 - 3.10 - 3.40.

Euroleague Top 16 Men, 25.01.2012

Panathinaikos (Greece) vs Unics Kazan (Russia)

Today at 23:45 in Athens [Top 16 ULEB Euroleague], Greek Panathinaikos takes Kazan UNICS from Russia.

Last games Panathinaikos: 

21.01.12 Panathinaikos - KAO Drama 101:72 (27:17, 24: 22, 19:18, 31:15) 
19.01.12 Milan - Panathinaikos 57:78 (10:24, 13:19, 10:15, 24:20) 
14.01.12 Aris - Panathinaikos 68: 72 (12:14, 20:17, 19:17, 17:24) 
11.01.12 Kolosos - Panathinaikos 71:81 (12:15, 21:24, 22:20, 16:22)
08.01.12 Panathinaikos - Panionios 89:69 (27:23, 23:14, 19:12, 20:20) 

Unics latest games: 

18.01.12 Unics - Fenerbahce 76:71 (15 : 18, 9:23, 29:15, 23:15) 
15.01.12 Unics - VEF Riga 67:50 (16:14, 13:8, 22:18, 16:10)
12.01.12 Budivelnik - UNICS 70:72 (21:14, 17:21, 13:9, 19:28) 
09.01.12 Astana - UNICS 68:87 (21:20, 12:18, 24:28, 11 21)
06.01.12 Unics - Spartak St. Petersburg 71:59 (20:11, 14:17, 17:15, 20:16) 


At first look, the analysis of the encounter, it is very big difference between teams. On one side recognized European Giants, Panathinaikos, over the past six years, winning three times in the Euroleague, on the other team, making the first tentative steps in the elite European competition and that in such contests is typed invaluable playing experience, Russian Unics Kazan. 


PAO is probably one of the few greek clubs, which is not very much affected, hurt the Greek economy is the global financial crisis. The team is still able to hold in the structure of key players, who are trying to repay the trust placed on them a good game. Zeljko Obradovic head coach, was able to instill in their charges its own unique style to which they may be confused with anyone else. All players are very mobile and their movement speed constantly baffled the defense of any rival.

And though the game UNICS just in the first place, and is based on the ideal defensive actions, which are so fond of head coach Evgeny Pashutin, in this meeting potential attacks Pao, see a serious argument. Well, can not be won back the team handicap of seventeen points after the first half of the previous meeting to do things on a regular basis. Yes and no special meaning. Probably easier to save reserve team a priority on the head more and to reserve them for the victories over equal forces. 

My call on this match Panathinaikos win by more than 11 points.

Play: Panathinaikos -11

Juventus looks unstoppable. The team conducts one of the best times in the league in recent years. In the Serie A team is in first position and so far has not suffered a single defeat. It's just an excellent result for such a strong League, Serie A as 1 point separates the team from Milan, 2nd placed.

Juventus to fight for the title this season will be extremely difficult. But in the Champions League team to go 100 percent. Of departure from the zone of the Champions League the team divides 6 points and is more than a comfortable advantage. The same team this year does not appear on the European scene and can fully concentrate on domestic competitions.

After winning last weekend very uncompromising Atalanta in an away match (0:2), Juventus proved once again that is not casual occupies the top from the point in the standings. With regard to changes in the starting lineup for next Juventus game against Roma, as compared to the composition, which played against Atalanta, they certainly will be. Simone Pepe and Claudio Marchisio are unlikely to come out on the field in this game, the coach simply wont force them, they are very important for the team. And come in handy in future fight for the championship. Moreover Juventus will give space to: Storari gkper, in defense Lichtsteiner right, attack Del Piero with Borriello.

Roma, for the matches that the team spent in Serie A, has left no one impressed. And if the team looks strong enough "on paper", then to develop team play on the field, the coach took a very long time. And in recent games Roma actually looks not bad. The team has 5 consecutive wins in Serie A, against Cesena, Chievo, Bologna, Naples and Fiorentina. Also worth noting is absolutely the whole line of attack scored, all of these matches with Roma completed the 15:2 goal difference! This is a very good indicator of what lies ahead of the team was adjusted game. But in Serie A team is only 6th. After a disastrous start to the season, all of these victories were not allowed to rise above them. The team also has lost a little more serious and they are than Juventus. Not be able to play Daniele De Rossi, Marco Cassetti, Nicolas Burdisso and Pablo Osvaldo. In attack will play trio Totti, Bojan Krkic and Lamela.

Lamela and Bojan couple of attack young but very talented. Juve change system and play with 3 defenders: Barzagli, Bonucci and Chiellini .. with fast Roma players and a good passing from Totti can see a lots of probems for the trio mentioned. The 3-5-2 of Juventus with Del Piero and ex Roma striker Boriello in attack will put pression from the flanks.

For the outcome: like Roma to win, a team on the rise with Luis Enrique game plans seems to get to the light slowly and the project has with Roma I start to believe in it.

For totals: Both teams are in very good shape before this match. Therefore, Total Over 2.5 2.05 WillHill in this game is playable and the most trustable and strong play of all the others options in this game.

Stats: Will F. Gago (Roma) get a yellow card? Yes. (Player must start the match for bets to stand) 4.00 Betsson